Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 8.833508 10.347249 12.004026 13.946868 16.157377 18.588682 21.459579
2025-12-14 6.073557 8.054089 10.455514 13.556853 17.428486 22.072745 28.032533
2025-12-21 4.473604 6.568003 9.326331 13.169482 18.320819 24.914680 33.908095
2025-12-28 3.751666 5.987550 9.135869 13.794320 20.393157 29.268688 41.940769
2026-01-04 3.168124 5.451255 8.863394 14.185163 22.090939 33.180705 49.632888
2026-01-11 2.645320 4.887731 8.431239 14.232806 23.232120 36.340801 56.460916
2026-01-18 2.234972 4.416841 8.049097 14.267853 24.300824 39.418499 63.334824
2026-01-25 1.839213 3.888951 7.482761 13.911561 24.685808 41.455976 68.759959
2026-02-01 1.522513 3.439009 6.971775 13.561265 25.008030 43.372437 74.077080
2026-02-08 1.236251 2.987481 6.383426 12.987915 24.874208 44.516439 78.214766
2026-02-15 1.019160 2.630390 5.911313 12.550936 24.905387 45.892354 82.766499
2026-02-22 0.923777 2.516905 5.892773 12.947009 26.426691 49.830692 91.729809
2026-03-01 0.823779 2.385662 5.845739 13.336351 28.072477 54.271957 102.134536
2026-03-08 0.679086 2.115784 5.470636 13.040603 28.443404 56.584458 109.194973
2026-03-15 0.555599 1.865705 5.092444 12.680951 28.644371 58.598164 115.869185
2026-03-22 0.510469 1.815949 5.164489 13.288614 30.808441 64.337910 129.512758
2026-03-29 0.457969 1.730836 5.136322 13.667577 32.537217 69.379268 142.194789
2026-04-05 0.396595 1.600992 4.972999 13.713817 33.571268 73.164106 152.787556
2026-04-12 0.343706 1.481930 4.814908 13.747773 34.574491 76.946836 163.588632
2026-04-19 0.284994 1.323211 4.518686 13.402817 34.708724 79.012352 171.236936
2026-04-26 0.236168 1.181997 4.241998 13.063699 34.813157 81.009743 178.852577
2026-05-03 0.189681 1.030745 3.902549 12.508725 34.356833 81.809567 184.145042
2026-05-10 0.154464 0.910190 3.629204 12.085822 34.159081 83.119401 190.509555